Service Plays Sunday 12/14/08

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CONFIDENTIAL TIP-OFF BASKETBALL
Sunday, Dec. 14

ILLINOIS-CHICAGO over *Georgia Tech (Day Game)...Beware of UIC, which has proven it can take its act on the road with recent 19-point thumping of Vandy in Nashville. And Jimmy Collins’ Flames are unique among Horizon entries because of legit post presence provided by 7-0 sr. VanderMeer (12.7 ppg & 9.3 rpg), who provides half of potent inside-outside combo along with explosive sr. G Mayo (21 ppg). Tech due to welcome back SG Clinch (academic suspension first semester), but HC Hewitt still trying to get Jackets’ gears meshing on offense.
ILLINOIS-CHICAGO 67 - *Georgia Tech 61 RATING - 11

 

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CKO /CTO

NFL:

11 WASHINGTON over *Cincinnati
Late Score Forecast:
WASHINGTON 27 - *Cincinnati 10
(Sunday, December 14)

Fundamentally-sound, strong-in-the-pits Washington eager to be facing one of the NFL’s struggling teams after having to play seven games so far vs. powerful NFC East rivals NYG, Dallas & Philly, plus Pittsburgh and Baltimore. Things promise to go much better vs. the 1-11-1 Bengals and their backup QB, shuffled OL, and injury-thinned defense. Even if Clinton Portis is sidelined for the Skins, LaDell Betts (1154 YR in 2006) is an excellent backup. Every win crucial for Skins’ fading playoff chances.

10 *BALTIMORE over Pittsburgh
Late Score Forecast:
*BALTIMORE 23 - Pittsburgh 10
(Sunday, December 14)

It was just about this time of the year in 2007 that the Ravens nearly defeated the then-undefeated New England Patriots in Baltimore, losing only after a series of controversial late calls on a cold and windy night. This year, the Raven defense is healthier, and the offense is vastly improved, thanks to rookie QB Joe Flacco and poised, clever, rookie HC John Harbaugh. Rough-tough Baltimore is 4-2 SU last 6 meetings vs. Pittsburgh.

 

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Power Sweep

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->4* Arizona 31-17
3* Tenn. 34-20
3* San Fran 13 (+) 14
2* Indy. 34-10

3* Packers O 45
3* Chargers U47
3* Seattle O44
2* Titans O 45
2* 49's U43

Angles 3 Tenn, 3 New England

System Play Indy.
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Goldsheet

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->THE GOLD SHEET

KEY RELEASES
GREEN BAY by 13 over Jacksonville
ARIZONA by 14 over Minnesota
UNDER the total in the Cleveland-Philadelphia game (Monday)

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 14
Green Bay 27 - JACKSONVILLE 14—Loss of Pro Bowl-caliber CB
Rashean Mathis another major blow in the star-crossed season of the Jaguars (0-6 vs. the spread at home TY!), especially vs. G.B.’s deep crew of talented wideouts. Meanwhile, Packers—although playoff hopes tiny—showing enough young depth at CB that they were thinking of moving Charles Woodson to safety, where his good tackling and nose for the ball might allow him to make more impact plays for fading defense. Lacking quality wideouts and a healthy OL, Jacksonville QB Garrard getting hounded (36 sacks) while scrambling to find receivers.

INDIANAPOLIS 33 - Detroit 10—The winless ‘76 Tampa Bay Bucs getting
increasingly nervous, as Detroit’s narrow miss last week vs. Minnesota might have been the Lions’ best chance to avoid an 0-16 mark and keep the expansion 0-14 Bucs in the record book. Somewhat surprisingly, Detroit has covered its last 4 on the road. But there’s little chance the Lions will catch hot, in-sync, playoff-minded Indy (6 straight wins) overlooking them. The Colts appear to be themselves again, especially with the defense not allowing a TD the last two weeks and Peyton Manning in tune again with Marvin Harrison (67- yard TDC last week vs. Cincy).

Washington 21 - CINCINNATI 10—Only a 21-19 victory over Jacksonville
Nov. 2 and an ugly tie 2 weeks later vs. Philly are keeping the Bengals from riding the same train to infamy being driven in 2008 by the Detroit Lions. Ryan Fitzpatrick (59%, 6 TDs, 9 ints.), while he hasn’t exactly self-destructed, is only 2-7 vs. the spread TY. Although the Redskins (1-7 vs. spread last 8 overall) still looking for more impact plays on defense, they run better and defend so much better than Cincy (only 13 sacks TY) that it’s tough to recommend mistake-prone host.

ATLANTA 23 - Tampa Bay 13—Much-improved Atlanta has guarded its
home turf well TY, winning & covering 5 times and stumbling only 24-20 vs. Denver. Moreover, quick-study rookie QB Matt Ryan (14 TDs, 7 ints.) now much better prepared to face T.B.’s sophisticated zone defenses than he was in first meeting way back in Week Two. With Ryan’s help, Falcons’ WR quartet of Roddy White, Michael *******, Harry Douglas & Brian Finneran a formidable NFL group. Relentless DE John Abraham has 12½ sacks.

MIAMI 20 - San Francisco 19—Miami, now sharing first place (!) in the AFC East, has done many things well during its turnaround campaign, including valuing the ball and committing the fewest TOs (10) through the first 3/4 of the season. However, the reborn Dolphins have not dominated at home, going only 2-5 vs. the spread. Meanwhile, the 49ers’ Mike Singletary has turned out to be S.F.’s version of Miami’s Tony Sparano, with the Niners going 3-2 SU and 4-1 vs. the spread since Singletary’s debut game, after which the former Bears’ MLB shouted, “We want winners!” (04-Miami +1 24-17...SR: EVEN 5-5)

Seattle 23 - ST. LOUIS 16—When Seattle clubbed the Rams 37-13 in Week Three, little did the Seahawks know 2008 was going to be a nightmare season for both these teams, especially in the walkaway campaign for respected HC Mike Holmgren. Last week, Seattle placed two of its three best OLmen (C Chris Spencer & LG Mike Wahle) on IR, and Matt Hasselbeck (back) missed another game. Still, the Seahawks’ effort behind Seneca Wallace (3 TDP vs. N.E.) was much more inspiring that the continuing string of turnovers, drops, sacks, and blown scoring chances by the Rams.

NY JETS 24 - Buffalo 13—Both teams have lost two straight. But the Jets— with Brett Favre at the controls, Thomas Jones (1088 YR) & Leon Washington (326 YR) doing the running, and NT Kris ******* disrupting things up front— appear to have a better 2008 future than the banged-up Bills. Buffalo has notched only 22 sacks & 7 ints. in 13 games. Not good vs. a well-focused Favre. Bills in the midst of a 1-6 pointspread freefall. Despite recent downturn, N.Y. still controls its own fate to win the AFC East.

HOUSTON 26 - Tennessee 23—Tennessee is certainly entitled to a
mulligan, as the near-flawless Titans (6-0 vs. the spread away!) has already clinched the AFC South and has a magic number of one to lock up the AFC home field throughout the playoffs. But Jeff Fisher’s crew was sloppy last week vs. Cleveland, when Tennessee got away with 3 giveaways & 13 penalties and still handily beat the QB-shy Browns. If the Titans not super-sharp this week, they might not escape improving Houston, which welcomed back QB Schaub (414 YP!) last week at Green Bay. Note last five “over” in series.)

BALTIMORE 19 - Pittsburgh 10—Through the first 12 games of the season,
the mighty Steel defense led the NFL in yards, points, rush yards, pass yards, sacks, and combined ints. + sacks. But the Baltimore defense is not far behind. And precocious Raven rookie QB Joe Flacco (2410 YP, 13 TDs, 10 ints.) showed in first meeting he’s not intimidated by Pittsburgh, leading a late 76- yard drive to force OT. Baltimore RB trio of Le’Ron McClain, Willis McGahee & Ray Rice has pounded for 1581 YR, while Pittsburgh’s Ben Roethlisberger merely getting pounded.

CAROLINA 23 - Denver 21—Bad matchup for both defenses? Carolina RBs
DeAngelo Williams (4.9 ypc) & Jonathan Stewart (4.6 ypc) had rushed for a combined 1539 yards prior to their Monday night affair with Tampa Bay. Now they face the Broncos’ 28th-ranked rush defense. However, Denver’s quick, vastly-underrated OL has allowed only 8 sacks all year! The Broncs, with the talented Jay Cutler learning steadily, have won their last three road games. And the underdog is 10-1 in the Broncs’ last 11 contests overall!

San Diego 24 - KANSAS CITY 16—Chargers trying to keep their very slim
playoff chances alive, with their fans grumbling aloud about the team’s dearth of Pro Bowl-level performances by their favorites following LY’s appearance in the AFC title game. But one key exception has been QB Philip Rivers (64%, 26 TDs, 10 ints.), who should have fun with K.C.’s weak defense (only six sacks TY), which is currently on track to posting one of lowest (if not the lowest) sack totals in NFL history.

ARIZONA 31 - Minnesota 17—Cardinals have clinched their first
divisional crown in 33 years. But expect no let-up, as second-year HC Ken
Whisenhunt has done an excellent job fostering team chemistry despite
management’s contract squabbles with players, the Leinart-Warner QB
question, and the benching of veteran RB Edgerrin James. If it’s Tarvaris Jackson at QB for Gus Frerotte (check status), he’ll have loads of problems dealing with Arizona S Adrian Wilson. Cards’ only home loss TY was vs. the mighty Giants. Arizona 7-1 “over” last 8 home.

New England 24 - OAKLAND 12—NFL’s best HC vs. its worst? Best
organization vs. the worst? Too bad the oddsmakers can equalize matters so easily with the stroke of a pencil. And that the injury gods can strike down key players (such as Tom Brady and several top Patriot defenders). But Oakland’s receivers not great, its QBs are still learning, and rookie RB Darren McFadden still battling turf toe. Will side with offensively-potent Pats, and count on a couple Raider mistakes. (05-N. ENG. -7' 30-20...SR: EVEN 15-15-1)

*N.Y. Giants 23 - DALLAS 20—Cowboys conquered three beatable foes
(Redskins, 49ers, Seahawks) in Tony Romo’s first three games back from his little finger injury. And they had the Steelers on the ropes last week, with Tashard Choice (166 yds. rushing & receiving) subbing well for Marion Barber III. But some sloppiness and miscommunication did them in. Will those poor habits continue vs. the NFC East champion Giants, who have covered 13 of their last 14 on the road? Check status of N.Y. power back Brandon Jacobs (knee). TV—NBC

MONDAY, DECEMBER 15
UNDER THE TOTAL *PHILADELPHIA 24 - Cleveland 6—Doubledigit
favorites weren’t doing so well in the NFL TY until a good showing last
week. So, with Philly arguably playing some of its best ball of 2008 the last two weeks, and with Cleveland down to its third-team QB and producing 6, 6 & 9 points the last three games, prefer to lay the lumber. Eagles desperate for every win, and Ken Dorsey lacks mobility vs. Philly’s rotating DLmen. Philly has five DD wins TY, while the prognosis is not good for Romeo Crennel’s continuation as Browns’ HC. Cleveland 8-1 “under” away; Birds 6-2 “under” last 8 at Linc. CABLE TV—ESPN (04-Philadelphia -7 34-31 (OT)...SR: Cleveland 31-14-1)

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THE GOLD SHEET

The Gold Sheet EXTRA! Technical Play of the Week
NFL: TENNESSEE-HOUSTON “Over”...Series “over” last 5 and 7 of last
8; BALTIMORE over Pittsburgh...Ravens have covered 6 of last 7 in series;
DENVER over Carolina...Broncos have won and covered last 3 on road (all
as dog!).

KEY RELEASES

NFL ANALYSIS
THE GOLD SHEET PAGE 2
GREEN BAY by 13 over Jacksonville
ARIZONA by 14 over Minnesota
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
UNDER the total in the Cleveland-Philadelphia game (Monday)


Green Bay 27 - JACKSONVILLE 14—Loss of Pro Bowl-caliber CB
Rashean Mathis another major blow in the star-crossed season of the Jaguars (0-6 vs. the spread at home TY!), especially vs. G.B.’s deep crew of talented wideouts. Meanwhile, Packers—although playoff hopes tiny—showing enough young depth at CB that they were thinking of moving Charles Woodson to safety, where his good tackling and nose for the ball might allow him to make more impact plays for fading defense. Lacking quality wideouts and a healthy OL, Jacksonville QB Garrard getting hounded (36 sacks) while scrambling to find receivers.
(04-Jacksonville +3' 28-25...SR: Green Bay 2-1)


ARIZONA 31 - Minnesota 17—Cardinals have clinched their first
divisional crown in 33 years. But expect no let-up, as second-year HC Ken
Whisenhunt has done an excellent job fostering team chemistry despite
management’s contract squabbles with players, the Leinart-Warner QB
question, and the benching of veteran RB Edgerrin James. If it’s Tarvaris
Jackson at QB for Gus Frerotte (check status), he’ll have loads of problems dealing with Arizona S Adrian Wilson. Cards’ only home loss TY was vs. the mighty Giants. Arizona 7-1 “over” last 8 home. (06-MINNESOTA -6' 31-26...SR: Minnesota 11-9)

MONDAY, DECEMBER 15
UNDER THE TOTAL *PHILADELPHIA 24 - Cleveland 6—Doubledigit
favorites weren’t doing so well in the NFL TY until a good showing last
week. So, with Philly arguably playing some of its best ball of 2008 the last two weeks, and with Cleveland down to its third-team QB and producing 6, 6 & 9 points the last three games, prefer to lay the lumber. Eagles desperate for every win, and Ken Dorsey lacks mobility vs. Philly’s rotating DLmen. Philly has five DD wins TY, while the prognosis is not good for Romeo Crennel’s continuation as Browns’ HC. Cleveland 8-1 “under” away; Birds 6-2 “under” last 8 at Linc. CABLE TV—ESPN (04-Philadelphia -7 34-31 (OT)...SR: Cleveland 31-14-1)


INDIANAPOLIS 33 - Detroit 10—The winless ‘76 Tampa Bay Bucs getting
increasingly nervous, as Detroit’s narrow miss last week vs. Minnesota might have been the Lions’ best chance to avoid an 0-16 mark and keep the expansion 0-14 Bucs in the record book. Somewhat surprisingly, Detroit has covered its last 4 on the road. But there’s little chance the Lions will catch hot, in-sync, playoff-minded Indy (6 straight wins) overlooking them. The Colts appear to be themselves again, especially with the defense not allowing a TD the last two weeks and Peyton Manning in tune again with Marvin Harrison (67-yard TDC last week vs. Cincy). (04-Indianapolis -9 41-9...SR: Indianapolis 19-18-2)

Washington 21 - CINCINNATI 10—Only a 21-19 victory over Jacksonville
Nov. 2 and an ugly tie 2 weeks later vs. Philly are keeping the Bengals from riding the same train to infamy being driven in 2008 by the Detroit Lions. Ryan Fitzpatrick (59%, 6 TDs, 9 ints.), while he hasn’t exactly self-destructed, is only 2-7 vs. the spread TY. Although the Redskins (1-7 vs. spread last 8 overall) still looking for more impact plays on defense, they run better and defend so much better than Cincy (only 13 sacks TY) that it’s tough to recommend mistake-prone host. (04-Cincinnati +3' 17-10...SR: Washington 4-3)

ATLANTA 23 - Tampa Bay 13—Much-improved Atlanta has guarded its
home turf well TY, winning & covering 5 times and stumbling only 24-20 vs. Denver. Moreover, quick-study rookie QB Matt Ryan (14 TDs, 7 ints.) now much better prepared to face T.B.’s sophisticated zone defenses than he was in first meeting way back in Week Two. With Ryan’s help, Falcons’ WR quartet of Roddy White, Michael Jenkins, Harry Douglas & Brian Finneran a formidable NFL group. Relentless DE John Abraham has 12½ sacks. (08-T. BAY 24-Atl. 9...T.15-14 T.28/164 A.28/105 T.18/31/0/147 A.13/33/2/129 T.1 A.0) (07-T. Bay 31-ATL. 7...15-15 T.31/149 A.19/49 A.31/48/2/226 T.11/21/0/156 T.2 A.2) (07-T. BAY 37-Atl. 3...T.21-5 T.48/190 A.20/106 T.15/25/1/95 A.4/15/2/27 T.0 A.2)
(08-T. BAY -7 24-9; 07-T. Bay -3 31-7, T. BAY -12' 37-3...SR: Tampa Bay 18-12


MIAMI 20 - San Francisco 19—Miami, now sharing first place (!) in the AFC
East, has done many things well during its turnaround campaign, including
valuing the ball and committing the fewest TOs (10) through the first 3/4 of the season. However, the reborn Dolphins have not dominated at home, going only 2-5 vs. the spread. Meanwhile, the 49ers’ Mike Singletary has turned out to be S.F.’s version of Miami’s Tony Sparano, with the Niners going 3-2 SU and 4-1 vs. the spread since Singletary’s debut game, after which the former Bears’ MLB shouted, “We want winners!” (04-Miami +1 24-17...SR: EVEN 5-5)

Seattle 23 - ST. LOUIS 16—When Seattle clubbed the Rams 37-13 in Week Three, little did the Seahawks know 2008 was going to be a nightmare season for both these teams, especially in the walkaway campaign for respected HC Mike Holmgren. Last week, Seattle placed two of its three best OLmen (C Chris Spencer & LG Mike Wahle) on IR, and Matt Hasselbeck (back) missed another game. Still, the Seahawks’ effort behind Seneca Wallace (3 TDP vs. N.E.) was much more inspiring that the continuing string of turnovers, drops, sacks, and blown scoring chances by the Rams. (08-SEA. 37-St. Lou. 13...Se.24-14 Se.46/245 St.24/65 St.17/30/1/167 Se.12/20/0/162 Se.1 St.1) (07-SEA. 33-St. Lou. 6...Se.19-15 Se.32/100 St.17/53 Se.18/35/1/189 St.21/40/3/168 Se.0 St.2) (07-Sea. 24-ST. LOU. 19...Se.18-17 St.31/104 Se.19/87 Se.21/38/1/215 St.23/37/2/161 Se.1 St.0) (08-SEATTLE -9 37-13; 07-SEATTLE -8 33-6, Seattle -3 24-19...SR: Seattle 11-10)


NY JETS 24 - Buffalo 13—Both teams have lost two straight. But the Jets— with Brett Favre at the controls, Thomas Jones (1088 YR) & Leon Washington (326 YR) doing the running, and NT Kris Jenkins disrupting things up front—appear to have a better 2008 future than the banged-up Bills. Buffalo has notched only 22 sacks & 7 ints. in 13 games. Not good vs. a well-focused Favre. Bills in the midst of a 1-6 pointspread freefall. Despite recent downturn, N.Y. still controls its own fate to win the AFC East. (08-NY Jets 26-BUF. 17...B.18-16 N.25/96 B.17/30 B.24/35/2/262 N.19/28/1/201 N.0 B.1) (07-BUF. 17-NY Jets 14...N.20-19 B.28/86 N.19/60 N.32/39/2/286 B.22/28/1/218 B.1 N.0) (07-Buf. 13-NY JETS 3...B.19-14 B.35/108 N.23/100 B.17/26/1/239 N.18/32/2/154 B.0 N.1)
(08-NY Jets +5' 26-17; 07-BUFFALO +3' 17-14, Buffalo +3 13-3...SR: Buffalo 53-43)

HOUSTON 26 - Tennessee 23—Tennessee is certainly entitled to a
mulligan, as the near-flawless Titans (6-0 vs. the spread away!) has already clinched the AFC South and has a magic number of one to lock up the AFC home field throughout the playoffs. But Jeff Fisher’s crew was sloppy last week vs. Cleveland, when Tennessee got away with 3 giveaways & 13 penalties and still handily beat the QB-shy Browns. If the Titans not super-sharp this week, they might not escape improving Houston, which welcomed back QB Schaub (414 YP!) last week at Green Bay. Note last five “over” in series. (08-TENN. 31-Hou. 12...T.19-18 T.36/154 H.28/146 T.14/26/1/189 H.17/37/3/171 T.1 H.0) (07-Tenn. 38-HOU. 36...T.23-18 T.39/155 H.12/39 H.27/44/3/294 T.25/42/0/267 T.2 H.3) (07-TENN. 28-Hou. 20...T.23-17 T.29/153 H.25/119 T.21/31/1/229 H.20/35/1/196 T.0 H.1) (08-TENN. -5 31-12; 07-Tenn. -1 38-36, TENN. -3' 28-20...SR: Tennessee 11-2)


BALTIMORE 19 - Pittsburgh 10—Through the first 12 games of the season,
the mighty Steel defense led the NFL in yards, points, rush yards, pass yards, sacks, and combined ints. + sacks. But the Baltimore defense is not far behind. And precocious Raven rookie QB Joe Flacco (2410 YP, 13 TDs, 10 ints.) showed in first meeting he’s not intimidated by Pittsburgh, leading a late 76-yard drive to force OT. Baltimore RB trio of Le’Ron McClain, Willis McGahee & Ray Rice has pounded for 1581 YR, while Pittsburgh’s Ben Roethlisberger merely getting pounded.
(08-PITT 23-Balt. 20 (OT)...B.16-11 B.33/103 P.28/69 P.14/24/1/168 B.16/31/0/140 P.0 B.1) (07-PITT 38-Balt. 7...P.14-5 P.39/90 B.14/64 P.14/21/1/201 B.16/31/1/40 P.0 B.3) 07-BALT. 27-Pitt 21...B.21-14 B.40/180 P.19/46 P.16/31/2/218 B.16/27/0/154 B.1 P.1) (08-PITT -5 23-20 (OT); 07-PITT -9 38-7, BALT. +3 27-21...SR: Pittsburgh 16-10)

CAROLINA 23 - Denver 21—Bad matchup for both defenses? Carolina RBs
DeAngelo Williams (4.9 ypc) & Jonathan Stewart (4.6 ypc) had rushed for a combined 1539 yards prior to their Monday night affair with Tampa Bay. Now they face the Broncos’ 28th-ranked rush defense. However, Denver’s quick, vastly-underrated OL has allowed only 8 sacks all year! The Broncs, with the talented Jay Cutler learning steadily, have won their last three road games. And the underdog is 10-1 in the Broncs’ last 11 contests overall! (04-DENVER -5 20-17...SR: Denver 2-0)

San Diego 24 - KANSAS CITY 16—Chargers trying to keep their very slim
playoff chances alive, with their fans grumbling aloud about the team’s dearth of Pro Bowl-level performances by their favorites following LY’s appearance in the AFC title game. But one key exception has been QB Philip Rivers (64%, 26 TDs, 10 ints.), who should have fun with K.C.’s weak defense (only six sacks TY), which is currently on track to posting one of lowest (if not the lowest) sack totals in NFL history.
(08-S. DIEGO 20-K. City 19...S.23-19 S.26/92 K.18/76 S.27/36/2/308 K.27/41/0/263 S.0 K.0) (07-K. City 30-S. DIEGO 16...S.19-17 S.24/133 K.28/126 K.17/29/2/264 S.21/42/2/200 K.0 S.2) (07-S. Diego 24-K. CITY 10...K.18-12 S.32/191 K.25/88 K.21/40/3/180 S.10/21/1/139 S.0 K.1)
(08-S. DIEGO -15 20-19; 07-K. City +12 30-16, S. Diego -6 24-10...SR: Kansas City 50-46-1

New England 24 - OAKLAND 12—NFL’s best HC vs. its worst? Best
organization vs. the worst? Too bad the oddsmakers can equalize matters so easily with the stroke of a pencil. And that the injury gods can strike down key players (such as Tom Brady and several top Patriot defenders). But Oakland’s receivers not great, its QBs are still learning, and rookie RB Darren McFadden still battling turf toe. Will side with offensively-potent Pats, and count on a couple Raider mistakes. (05-N. ENG. -7' 30-20...SR: EVEN 15-15-1)

*N.Y. Giants 23 - DALLAS 20—Cowboys conquered three beatable foes
(Redskins, 49ers, Seahawks) in Tony Romo’s first three games back from his little finger injury. And they had the Steelers on the ropes last week, with Tashard Choice (166 yds. rushing & receiving) subbing well for Marion Barber III. But some sloppiness and miscommunication did them in. Will those poor habits continue vs. the NFC East champion Giants, who have covered 13 of their last 14 on the road? Check status of N.Y. power back Brandon Jacobs (knee). TV—NBC (08-GIANTS 35-Dal. 14...N.23-11 N.34/200 D.24/81 N.16/27/1/119 D.14/27/3/102 N.2 D.1) (07-DAL. 45-Giants 35...N.22-21 D.30/142 N.22/124 D.15/24/1/336 N.29/44/1/314 D.1 N.0) (07-Dal. 31-GIANTS 20...N.23-19 N.27/106 D.24/82 D.20/28/1/241 N.23/34/2/194 D.0 N.0) (07-Giants 21-DAL. 17...D.23-16 D.33/154 N.23/90 D.18/36/1/182 N.12/18/0/140 N.0 D.0) (08-GIA -8' 35-14; 07-DAL. -6 45-35, Dal. -2 31-20, Giants +7' 21-17 (Playoffs)...SR: Dal. 54-37-
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE GOLD SHEET
NBA FORECAST

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 14 Day Games
New Orleans 103 - TORONTO 98—Interesting results last season when the
road team won both meetings. It’s also interesting how poorly Toronto is faring vs. number at Air Canada Centre, dropping 7 of first 8 vs. line as host thru Dec. 6, a reflection of the problems that caused HC Sam Mitchell’s recent dismissal. But don’t look for replacement Jay Triano to work any quick miracles, as Raptors still struggling to implement new offensive and defensive systems that have contributed to slow start. 07-Tor +6 97-92 (184), No -2' 118-111 (198)

Miami 100 - MEMPHIS 93—If Miami needs any reminders about how much
it regressed last season, a quick look at results vs. Memphis (when Heat lost both meetings) should prove sobering. Miami not ready to contend for title yet, but it is a new season, Dwyane Wade is healthy again, and Heat fared well on recent extended western road trip when winning 3 of 5 SU. Grizzlies only 1-8 vs. line last 9 thru Dec. 6. 07-MEM -6 101-94 (198), Mem -4' 96-91 (191)Night Games

SAN ANTONIO 102 - Oklahoma City 86—Better things could be on tap for
S.A. now that Manu Ginobili has returned to lineup to team with Tony Parker & Tim Duncan for first time this season. In their absence, reserves such as Roger Mason, Matt Bonner, and George Hill earned valuable minutes, which will only help Spurs’ depth. Note how S.A. romped by 21 past Ok City at AT&T Center when Thunder was based in Seattle last season. 07-San -9' 116-101 (199), OKLA +7 88-85 (192), SAN -16 95-74 (182)

LA LAKERS 113 - Minnesota 92—Lake Show didn’t even draw a deep
breath when facing Minnesota last season, winning and covering handily in all 3 meetings (closest margin 14 points). And though Lakers having a tougher time in recent weeks clearing substantial imposts (L.A. only 3-4 last 7 as Staples Center chalk thru Dec. 6), T-wolves not inspiring much confidence with their recent efforts (no covers their last 7 thru Dec. 8.), as internal grumblings an indicator that HC Randy Wittman’s job could be in trouble. 07-LA -10' 107-93 (201), La -7' 116-95 (204), La -9' 117-92 (203)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE GOLD SHEET

COLLEGE HOOPS
SUNDAY, DECEMBER 14

GEORGIA TECH over Illinois-Chicago by 1 to 3—07-DNP

ARKANSAS-L.R. over Northern Illinois by 8 to 11—07-NIU +3' 59-55

NEW MEXICO ST. over Utep by 3 to 5—07-UTEP -6' 84-76, Utep +3' 79-78

WAKE FOREST over Wright St. by 24 to 28—07-DNP

Gonzaga 75 - ARIZONA 67—With Arizona program still in limbo post-Lute
(asst. Russ Pernell handling coaching duties on an interim basis), not sure
Wildcats up to task of challenging set of non-conference action in December. Meanwhile, Gonzaga has already proven tis mettle vs. top-flight competition (won Old Spice Tourney over Tennessee in Orlando), with re-emergence of 6-11 C Heytvelt as force signaling that Zags belong with nation’s elite...something we can’t say anymore about UA. (at Phoenix, AZ) 07-DNP

BOWLING GREEN over Detroit by 4 to 6—07-Bgu +3' 81-65

NEVADA over Southern Illinois by 4 to 6—07-SIU -7' 74-49

UNLV over Western Michigan by 13 to 16—(at Orleans Arena) 07-DNP

Stanford over COLORADO ST. by 6 to 8—07-STAN -21 73-53

Villanova over LA SALLE by 5 to 7—07-VIL -17' 71-58 CABLE TV—ESPNU

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pointwise Basketball
<!-- message -->
NBA Selections
Key Releases
4--Miami over Memphis (12/14) 99-90

Best of the Rest
12/14--San Antonio

NCAA Key Releases--
2--Bowling Green over Detroit (12/14) 78-62
4--Villanova over LaSalle (12/14) 78-54

Best of the Rest
12/14--Ill-Chicago, UTEP

<!-- / message --><!-- / message -->

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Marc Lawrence's Playbook

NBA

Sunday, December 14

New Orleans over TORONTO by 14
Here’s a matchup of two teams driving down different roads this season.
After dominating during the NBA pre-season, the Hornets have picked up
right where they ended. Meanwhile, the Raptors spoiled a 3-0 start and have already made a coaching change. At press time they are a measly 3-6 SU and 2-7 ATS at home this season and appear to be a team in disarray. To make matters worse, the Dinosaurs are 0-5 ATS at home on Sundays while the Hornets have bagged the cash in 7 of their last 8 visits north of the border. Back the better team here tonight.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Vegas Experts The Edge Newsletter

3* Atlanta
3* Arizona
3* Philadelphia
<!-- / message -->

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Brady, if you still get Ness confirm this:

Larry Ness

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Las Vegas Insider-Atlanta Falcons
<!-- / message -->

 

[brady1983]

Brady, if you still get Ness confirm this:

Larry Ness

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Las Vegas Insider-Atlanta Falcons
<!-- / message -->

Confirmed.

 

[chuba]

Adam Meyer...


5* bengals +7
5*packers-1.5
5*colts -17
4*broncos +7.5 (underdog play of week)
4* teaser ne-1/2, denver+13.5

gl this weekend

 

[chuba]

Adam Meyer...


5* bengals +7
5*packers-1.5
5*colts -17
4*broncos +7.5 (underdog play of week)
4* teaser ne-1/2, denver+13.5

gl this weekend

added
4* sf +6.5
5* bucs +3
4.5* jills +7.5

as always gl

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

North coast sports

under dog pow....kansas city +5

nfc pow....washington -6'

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Allen Eastmen

$3500.00 Miami (-6.5) over San Francisco (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 14)

$800.00 ‘Under’ 43.5 Seattle at St. Louis (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 14)

$500.00 New York Giants (+3) over Dallas (8 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 14)

$500.00 ‘Under’ 36.5 Washington at Cincinnati (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 14)

$400.00 Cleveland (+14) over Philadelphia (9 p.m., Monday, Dec. 15)

$300.00 New Orleans (+3) over Chicago (8 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 11)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

bettorsworld

3* Titans -3 over Texans - I had a conversation with someone earlier this week and we talked about the Titans vs. Texans game. I mentioned that I was surprised the Titans were only a field goal favorite over Houston. My fellow prognosticator said, "yeah, but the Texans are playing well right now". So, I had to dig a little deeper. In doing so, I noticed the Texans have won 3 in a row. Hey, congrats to the Texans or that. They sat at 3-7 a few weeks ago and are now 6-7. Many had mentioned the Texans as a team to watch this year. You'd have to say the season as a whole has been a big disappointment for them but they have put three in a row together and are on a little roll.



But folks, the difference between these two teams is like night and day. You first have to look at who the Texans have beat during this 3 game winning streak. The Packers, Jags and Browns. That's the 5-8 Packers, the 4-9 Browns and the 4-9 Jags. Instead of looking at the last 3 games, take a look at what the Texans have done against "good" teams this year. Playoff teams. a 38-17 loss to the Steelers. 31-12 loss to these Titans. A 41-13 loss to the Ravens. They did have two shoot out losses to the Colts but it's not as if the Colts are a defensive powerhouse. The Texans other wins this year came against the Lions and Bengals.



You don't have to use any fancy formulas or look at any special stats to determine that the Titans are for real. Just look at their season results thus far. You don't go 11-1 in the NFL by accident. Yes, people are going to point to the strength of schedule for the Titans so far and that angle does have some credibility. They haven't exactly had it tough. There are no signature wins against the NFL's elite. Actually, scratch that last sentence. They beat the Ravens. But other than the game they gave away to the Jets, they disposed of everyone they faced including the Ravens and Colts. They played many of the same teams these Texans played with much different results.



Look at any eventual conference champions records down the stretch over the years and you'll find one common denominator. Dominating wins. Dominating wins and lots of covers along the way. The Texans have given up 28 points or more 8 times this year. The Titans gave up 34 to the Jets and 21 to the Colts. Every other game saw them give up 17 points or less. Usually less. The Titans are a team that will contend for the chance to go to the Super Bowl this year and will likely play in the AFC Championship game. The Texans are a 6-7 team that happened to win their last three games all against losing teams. Frankly, the Texans are not a very good football team while the Titans are very good. It's really that simple.



We have no problem trusting the Titans with our money for 60 minutes. You can listen to all the talk about trap lines, letdowns, the Texans being hot, and so on. All that talk will do is talk you out of solid investments. This game is good vs. bad. Playoff vs. non playoff. Defense against defenseless. The Titans have beaten the Texans by 3 or more in 6 of the last 7 times they have played. So why not one more time in the year that finds the Titans as one of the best in the NFL? Also note that the Titans have won 15 of their last 16 games. They locked up a first round bye last week but the job still isn't complete. They are looking for home field advantage throughout the playoffs and are coming off a less than stellar performance against the Browns last week in a game in which they won regardless despite uncharacteristic penalties and giveaways. Expect a focused effort this week. The Titans can have all the letdowns they want AFTER they clinch home field throughout. Quite frankly, if they can't win here in Houston with so much to gain, they don't deserve home field throughout.



3* TITANS -3 OVER TEXANS

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DR BOB

3% Buff +7.5 or more 2% +7
3% Baltimore -2.5 or less or 2% -3
2% Oakland +5 to +7 3% +7.5 or more
2% Houston +3.5 or more
strong opinion Detroit +16 or more

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Brian Steinberg

ATLANTA –3 over Tampa Bay SPORTSINTERACTION

The Bucs rely heavily on a sound running game combined with a great defense but all of that was thrown out the window last week when the Panthers completely exposed them. These Bucs are just not the same team without Earnest Graham, as Warrick Dunn and/or Cadillac Williams just can’t maych up against him nor can they carry the load. The Bucs are not built to come from behind either and all the above-mentioned factors suddenly makes this team very vulnerable. Also, the Bucs have struggled on the road all year and now they’ll play back-to-back road games on a short week and that makes this assignment even more difficult. The Falcons still aren’t getting the respect they deserve but the fact remains that these Dirty Birds have been juggernauts in their own barn. They’re 5-1 at home and all but one of their home wins have been by 13 points or more. Atlanta lost in Tampa in week 2 but that was then and this is now. The Falcons are much more seasoned, Matt Ryan has a bunch more games under his belt, the whole team is more confident and they can really put themselves in a favorable position to make the playoffs with a win here. The Bucs are 4-1 over its last five games but they’ve been winning ugly and unimpressively and it all came to a head last week in Carolina. A similar result to that game could be in store for them again. Play: Atlanta –3 (Risking 3.15 units to win 3).



BALTIMORE –2 over Pittsburgh SPORTSINTERACTION

Is it me or do the Steelers have horseshoes up their butts? Some may call them opportunistic but they seem to get every break and every bounce go their way. How they came out victorious last week is incredible, as they were virtually written off for dead. They also pulled a rabbit out of their hats against San Diego in that bizarre 11-10 win. Then there was the week 4, 23-20 win over these same Ravens, that the Steelers had no business winning either. The Ravens controlled the game and time of possession in a game that the Steelers managed just 11 first downs. They’ve also had trouble with both Jacksonville and Cleveland but once again they prevailed in both games. Now, after an incredibly physical, not to mention emotional game, they’ll head to Baltimore to play the just as physical Ravens and you can be damn sure the Ravens will be ready. Once again Big Ben will be pressured over and over and his magical act of turning nothing into something is about to end. The Steelers offensive line is a complete mess and there’s just no way, after last week’s war, that the Steelers defense will compensate for the lack of offense. This venue has been unkind to the Steelers, as they’ve dropped five in a row here and now more then ever, the Steelers are ripe as hell and this quality host will take full advantage. Play: Baltimore –2 (Risking 3.3 units to win 3).

This line is already moving towards 3 so get on it early.